Spread During News — Measured Minute by Minute | Kenya 2026

CPI, Core CPI n.s.a. m/m, CPI y/y, Core CPI m/m — 11 Sep 2026, 15:30 EAT

Definitions: quiet spread = median of the 15 minutes before the release; peak = widest single quote after it. All-in = peak spread × pip value + $7 round-turn Raw+ commission ($3.50/side, 1 lot) — quiet EUR/USD all-in is $9 ($2 spread + $7 commission). Peak vs daily range = peak spread as a share of the instrument’s average daily range. Back to normal = first quote under 1.5× the quiet median. * Gold always runs wide relative to FX, so its share of daily range is small and it “recovers” almost instantly by this measure. Times in EAT.

What printed

Values as published by the platform calendar feed (its own scale — e.g. payrolls in thousands).

All six instruments, minute by minute

Each cell is the average spread of that minute as a multiple of the quiet median — the instant peaks in the table above are single quotes inside minute 0, so a ×4 minute average and a ×18 instant peak describe the same event.

Tick density across instruments ran ×1.0–×2.1 the usual rate in the release minute; everything is flat again by about +2 minutes.

Stops that survive the spike

FxPro’s measured stops level is 0 points on all six instruments — stops and straddle orders can sit at any distance. The practical floor during a release is the spread itself: at this print an EUR/USD stop closer than about 5.4 pips could have been filled by the spread alone, with price effectively unmoved, and a gold stop inside 225 points ($2.25) was equally exposed. The 1.5× buffer over the measured peak covers the post-peak chop before quotes settle.

Every release we have measured (87 windows since Jul 2026)

This history grows automatically: every high-impact release is captured once and kept.

Which of your costs a release can actually move

Three charges sit between your deposit and your payout, and only one of them reacts to news. The commission on Raw+ and cTrader is fixed per lot per side, so it is identical in the calmest hour and in the loudest minute. The overnight swap is set per instrument and posted at the daily rollover, so a release in the middle of the EAT afternoon never touches it. The spread is variable by definition, and the measured windows above show what that means in practice.

That leaves an unusually clean way to plan. Everything except the spread can be worked out the day before, in cash, for the exact size you intend to trade. The spread is the only unknown, and the table above turns it from an unknown into a range this feed has already recorded. Sizing to that range is a money decision that costs nothing to make and can be made calmly.

The second thing a release moves is not a charge at all: the distance between the price you clicked and the price you got. Nobody deducts it, but it lands in the same balance, and in the measured windows it has been the larger of the two effects. See trading conditions for the order rules behind a fill and spreads for the quiet-hour baseline.

What a spike costs an account funded near the minimum

Scale the arithmetic down and the picture changes. An account holding a few hundred dollars is not trading standard lots; at 0.01 lots each EUR/USD pip is worth about $0.10, so even a spread several times its usual width is measured in cents rather than dollars. The hazard for a small balance is almost never the cost of one entry. It is the position size chosen because that cost looked small.

Free margin is the line to watch instead. A widened spread marks open positions further into the red on paper the instant it appears, and the margin level moves with it. Nothing has been charged and nothing has been realised, but the account has less room, and the closer it was to its margin call the less room it had to begin with. See margin for how much a position reserves before any of this starts.

The practical answer is to fix your size and your stop before the release rather than during it, and to accept that a stop sitting inside the range of the spike is a stop the spread can reach on its own. None of that requires predicting the number. It requires knowing what the entry costs and what the balance can carry.

The market minute and the payment day are different units

Everything measured on this page happens inside a minute or two. Everything about funding an account from Kenya happens in business days: an international bank wire takes 3 to 5 of them, a payout is processed 24/5 and usually within one business day, and verification has to be complete before that payout moves at all. The two timescales never meet, which is why a release is never a reason to hurry a transfer.

It is a reason to have finished one. An account that is verified, funded and with the balance already moved from the FxPro Wallet into the trading account has nothing left to arrange when a number prints. An account that is still waiting on a wire has a decision it cannot act on, and the temptation is to fund by a faster route that may not be the one you want to be paid out on later.

The route out is the part that punishes haste. A withdrawal returns by the method the deposit arrived on, so a card used once because it was quick is the card your payouts will use afterwards. Nothing in a release window is worth locking that choice in — see ask the team if you want the funding options checked before you commit to one.

Working a release from the money side

1. Look up the release time in EAT the day before, not on the day.
2. Work out your fixed costs for the size you intend: $3.50 per lot per side on Raw+ or cTrader, or nothing beyond the spread on a Standard account.
3. Read the widest measured spread for your instrument in the windows above and treat it as the entry cost you might pay, not the one you hope to.
4. Size the position so that cost stays a small fraction of the move you are trading for, and place the stop outside the range this feed has already recorded.
5. Check free margin before the release rather than after, remembering that a wider spread reduces it without anything being charged.
6. If the numbers do not work at your size, sit the release out. Nothing on the money path requires you to trade it.

CFD trading carries a high risk of losing money. Measured windows describe what happened, not what will happen next.

Cost lines around a release: which move and which do not

Charges are as FxPro states them; the spread and gap behaviour is what our own measurement recorded in the windows above.

Two timescales on one account

Funding and payout timings are what FxPro states for its own processing; the release measurements are ours.

Related FxPro pages